More nights, barely more guests

Only a small part of the extra nights came from extra guests. INE counted 21,624 hotel guests in August against 20,569, up 5.13 percent. Set one against the other and the average stay was 5.59 nights instead of 4.84 — about 15 percent longer. The island did not mainly attract more people; it attracted people who stay longer. That is the pattern of a long-haul market.

The Madrid route does not explain August

In April we reported Iberia Express doubling Madrid–La Palma to ten weekly frequencies. That is a domestic route — and it was the domestic side that shrank: 14,465 hotel guests from Spain against 16,248, down 11.0 percent. The month was carried by guests from abroad, 7,159 against 4,321. Their share of nights rose from 31.5 to 45.8 percent, the highest since 2019. That matches the plan the Cabildo de La Palma published on 9 April: 67,459 international airline seats for the summer instead of 46,676 (up 44.5 percent), against only 56,100 domestic seats instead of 52,458 (up 6.9 percent). Island tourism councillor Raquel Rebollo named Jet2's entry from Manchester, Condor from Munich, a new link to Wrocław and more charter capacity from Düsseldorf.

What the air figures carry — and what they do not

Air capacity explains the direction, not the size: the airport grew 7.2 percent, hotel nights 21.44 percent. Aircraft movements rose only 2.6 percent — the aircraft were fuller or larger, not much more numerous. From January to August Aena counted 1,073,454 passengers (up 5.2 percent). The Cabildo put the summer seat increase at 28.34 percent; its own figures (99,134 to 123,559) work out at 24.6 percent — and it is a plan, not counted traffic.

The cheapest island — and the price even fell

La Palma is the only Canary zone where the room rate fell: €87.27 against €87.64. Lanzarote charged €180.51, Tenerife €162.53, Gran Canaria €151.13, Fuerteventura €149.95, La Gomera €126.67 — a room on La Palma cost less than half a room on Lanzarote. The houses still came out ahead: revenue per available room rose 6.9 percent to €71.86, and establishments reported 902 staff instead of 818. On Gran Canaria and Mogán we have a separate analysis.

Five years after Tajogaite: the curve is right, the island is not fixed

The fifth anniversary fell on Saturday 19 September 2026; the eruption lasted 85 days, from 19 September to 13 December 2021. The INE series shows how deep the collapse was: in October 2021, the first full month of the eruption, La Palma counted 34,168 nights against 78,383 in October 2019 — down 56 percent. The year 2021 came to 399,982 against 1,047,806 in 2019, then 703,263 (2022), 677,395 (2023), 758,300 (2024), 911,588 (2025). January to August 2026 stands at 701,824 — just 0.5 percent below the 705,196 of the same period in 2019. On that one measure La Palma is back to pre-crisis level. The island is not fixed: carbon dioxide still seeps from the ground in Puerto Naos, and of roughly 340 million euros in aid mobilised, more than 250 million had not been paid out by the anniversary.